tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post4124138261647093573..comments2024-01-16T08:40:53.682+00:00Comments on <a href="http://www.openeurope.org.uk">Open Europe</a>: What does the reshuffle mean for Europe (clue: police and crime)? OEhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00556463374230498875noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post-4476828710151567702012-09-06T09:24:46.033+01:002012-09-06T09:24:46.033+01:00Cameron in my view should wait till the discussion...Cameron in my view should wait till the discussion on a new EU treaty comes on the table (and before that create a working-solution with people that might be helpful in the proces (eg Merkel).<br />Most of that should be done behind closed doors. That moment is not far.<br /><br />The big IF however: is this his strategy or does he thinks he can get away with some windowdressing.<br />My best guess is probably the latter. He is hardly a strategic guy (more a make it up when it comes up) and clearly also one that rather runs away from tough decisions iso facing them (typical modern European politician (brain made out of parts for a playstation and a spine made out of rubber (organic of course)).<br /><br />Summarised UK public opion pressure might be very helpful as will be pressure on him as leader of the Conservatives. Likely to happen. <br />However this is the moment, he should not ..... that up. Showing up at Waterloo somewhere in 1825 will simply not do the job, whoever would show up at the end.<br />He simply has to do what it takes and not far from now.Riknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post-13210609163119808462012-09-05T12:11:55.195+01:002012-09-05T12:11:55.195+01:00Even if the changes in personnel lead to a slightl...Even if the changes in personnel lead to a slightly harder line on Europe for the time being, this will only have been done to give Cameron some improved credibility with EU skeptics. The effect will just be temporary until the next round of freedom sapping measures from Brussels.<br /><br />A few years ago I would have been satisfied with a major watering down of the EU measures effecting the UK but after more research, I now understand the EU monster and its appetite for power much better and have concluded that the only way for the UK to deal with this creature is to leave its clutches altogether and the sooner the better. Continual fudging, play fighting and appeasement will not work.Average Englishmannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post-59699882760091500412012-09-05T12:06:56.555+01:002012-09-05T12:06:56.555+01:00It will not make any difference as long as Cameron...It will not make any difference as long as Cameron pulls the strings. He still pretends 'renegotiation' when he knows there is not any forum for reversing any single Acquis Communautaire. Only by getting out of the EU will we be able to cut out the creeping cancer that is the EURollohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18255460090580758354noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post-17676785683419930652012-09-05T12:04:58.383+01:002012-09-05T12:04:58.383+01:00I cannot see anything changing as long as Cameron ...I cannot see anything changing as long as Cameron pulls the strings. He still pretends 'renegotiation' when there is no forum for changing any Acquis Communautaire. Even the proportions of women on UK company boards is not in the power of the UK government. Only if Cameron is ejected and a real patriot repatriates powers by getting out of the EU will we be able to cut out the creeping cancer that is the EURollohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18255460090580758354noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post-68455627050941775922012-09-05T11:59:21.989+01:002012-09-05T11:59:21.989+01:001. In general a logical reshuffle.
2. To the righ...1. In general a logical reshuffle.<br /><br />2. To the right in general but mainly to the EU-sceptic side.<br />Probably it is good to move not too far to the right for general electoral reasons. The main electoral danger is however the Euro-sceptic side (which doesnot really move left-right in the traditional sense).<br />So slight move overall in the right direction (stress being conservative not Tony Blair's brother) caused by mainly moving in the by far most important area.<br /><br />3.Economy/Osborne. Another problem area. The sitting government simply will always be blaimed for economic problems.<br />Osborne is imho a liability and an asset.<br />Asset in the way that anybody else would have faced the same problems. Unless you move to a Brownish spending style. Which is simply too high a price for the possible gains. If markets calm down 90% debt might be the effective max, going massively over that while adjusting again goes 2-3% a year at best is simply too risky. Better a few years zero growth than later with the real possibility of an Italian style crisis.<br />So Osborne is not to blame but is still being blamed (and big time).<br />Likely the best solution being keep him on board (as the problems are function related and not person related) and ask him to step down a few months before the election starts to play (starts to play not start otherwise it will not look very credible).<br />Keeping him will simply most likely be a considerable liability. Plus this way he takes a lot of the flak that would otherwise land with the one that should win next election. he is the one they are shooting at remove a few months for elections start to play. They have to find another target and find a credible way to shoot at him. And all their earlier ammunition was nearly useless.<br /><br />4. Lady Warsi imho a bad idea. She simply doesnot represent the Conservative brand and what is good at it.<br />And if you want to go for the minority/coloured vote you have simply to come up with something better. What you might win on one side you will likely lose on the other. In general people are a bit fed up not with minority candidates as such, but the ones that look to be mainly there because they are a minority representative. Especially in the light of scandal 189 543 or what was it. Voters should be confronted as little as possible with people with a history and there are still too many walking around.<br />She looks very competent in general btw, however simply doesnot fit in the picture you want to present to win the next election. Riknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post-48419625149574235082012-09-05T11:43:24.146+01:002012-09-05T11:43:24.146+01:00Putting "strong views" and "hard li...Putting "strong views" and "hard line reformer" (what's that) into position makes no difference if the object is immovable.<br /><br />It is actually clever tactics by Cameron to neuter anyone who wants to criticise the EU by giving them responsibility in the knowledge there is nothing whatever they can do about it.<br /><br />cameron no doubt has his eye on another enevt in 2014 than the opt-out deadline, namely the EU elections. No doubt he will want to paint his as the most eurosceptic party ever and hey-look, I have put a couple of sceptics in EU related roles.Andrew Smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17671242562855245457noreply@blogger.com