tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post7329740594494427569..comments2024-01-16T08:40:53.682+00:00Comments on <a href="http://www.openeurope.org.uk">Open Europe</a>: Decoding the significance of Germany's 'Presidential Poker'OEhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00556463374230498875noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post-53095191077745308562012-02-22T16:58:30.423+00:002012-02-22T16:58:30.423+00:002 other German political issues:
-The FDP is consi...2 other German political issues:<br />-The FDP is considerably below the 5% limit in the polls. Its leadership is unappealing and very inexsperienced. So a bit of a loose gun.<br />-Merkel will have imho the bail out 2.0 blown up straight into her face before the next German elections. Tuesday (the day after) the Greek deficit was already more than 1% higher than expected. So most likely this will create at least a 3 to 4% gap. Furthermore it simply stinks.<br />Anyway Greece will have conditions and those conditions will not be met (why this time it should be different)so in 3 possibly 6 months we will have the next Greece discussion.<br />Merkel is clearly the one pushing 2.0 through. So she is likely getting the fall out if it goes wrong. And it is before next German national election. It might help Sarkozy but not Merkel.<br /><br />All these things come together now and leaves an explosive mix.Riknoreply@blogger.com