tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post7779489798169280171..comments2024-01-16T08:40:53.682+00:00Comments on <a href="http://www.openeurope.org.uk">Open Europe</a>: Syria: Who’s in and who’s out?OEhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00556463374230498875noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post-60576181624355285922013-08-29T11:29:09.270+01:002013-08-29T11:29:09.270+01:00And the EU wants a european army ?
In the event of...And the EU wants a european army ?<br />In the event of any action soldiers of countries A,B,C...they can take part, D,E,F... they cant, G & H will provide logistics, X,Y,Z haven't made their minds up..<br />That sounds like another eu fiasco.sceptichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18326569183724882079noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post-28964540564249207142013-08-29T11:00:47.577+01:002013-08-29T11:00:47.577+01:00How many times do we go to war to stop Muslim peop...How many times do we go to war to stop Muslim people from killing each other? And what is the result? The ones we are against hate the west; and the ones we help hate the west for helping them.<br />We armed the Taliban in Afghanistan; we do not want to arm them again in Syria.<br />But: if you see a weak person being beaten up on the street, and if you can help stop it, and if you can do it in a way that does not make things worse, then a good person should do it and not walk by. Targetted strikes on artillery pieces, for example?Rollohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18255460090580758354noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-36227136.post-24196909324150302322013-08-28T15:54:43.301+01:002013-08-28T15:54:43.301+01:00Another case of Punch and Judy trying to play inte...Another case of Punch and Judy trying to play international statesmen. <br /><br />1. The respective populations are clearly not buying Iraq style rhetoric anymore. And as with several other accounts the Euro and immigration to name a few if this ends bad, bills will have to be paid at election time.<br />Even now there is hardly popular support, even less for outside the UN. And it likley only will get worse when things end up without direct success.<br /><br />2. Syria has all in it to become a large Libanon. Groups that are basically hostile to each other living relatively close to each other. Plus because of the secular regime have often moved to the big cities especially Aleppo and Damascus. Not like Iraq with groups geographically more split.<br /> <br />This looks more like Iraq than Libya and with more groups involved and living closer to each other as well.<br />This is not a relatively easy to demarcate frontline this is a Jackson Pollock type one.<br />Unlikely as well that has 'tribe' will drop Assad unlike Gadaffi. And even if they drop him he will be replaced by like and the fighting will continue.<br /><br />3. So in a nutshell a civil war but not one that can easily be stopped now it has started. And with lots of downside risk and very little upside.<br /><br />4. The West has let it chance slipped when it properly started. They might have had the chance to decouple Iran and Libanon. That chance is gone now.<br /><br />5. Anyway the West under so called leadership from Obozo is messing the MENA relations completely up after the Arab Spring. They have had no major call right and this is likely the next one.<br />The ball is Iran getting nuclear and they have their eyes everywhere else but not on the ball. To play that game you need Russia and this again is hardly helpful. The only thing that happens on that front is that Putin gets pi$$ed off with every occasion possible.<br /><br />Hard to see you get the whole EU behind it with it being highly unpopular nearly in every country. And not all governments being on an electoral suicide mission.<br />Riknoreply@blogger.com