If AfD actually wins 5% of the vote, it will enter the Bundestag. The poll has caused a bit of a stir, as most commentators didn't think AfD would make it into parliament.
Now INSA head Hermann Binkert has broken down where the potential AfD voters come from for FAZ:
3% first-time voters
13% other parties
- It's interesting that the largest share of the AfD vote comes from non-voters, so it has mobilised non-voters in a way that other parties have not been able to.
- The second largest share of the AfD vote comes from FDP supporters. The FDP haven't been doing too well in the polls (currently at 6%), so there is the outside possibility that the AfD will make it into the Bundestag while the FDP won't.