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Showing posts with label Carl Bildt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Carl Bildt. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 18, 2014

When it comes to dealing with thugs, the UK becomes strangely popular in Europe

Soon to be a regular sight over Baltic skies?
The Ukrainian crisis has shown up the short-term limitations of the EU's 'soft power' in the face of a determined Russian regime not afraid of wielding its 'hard power'. Though we would argue that in the long-term, the odds still favour the EU due to Russia's disastrous demographic trends and relatively undiversified economy - and there are things the EU can do without resorting to Kremlin tactics - it's not a secret that Vladimir Putin responds better to the stick than the carrot.

Put differently, Putin doesn't exactly run for cover when Jose Manuel Barroso and Herman Van Rompuy put out a joint statement. As this stand-off is now about hard economic and political power, enter London.

 As Defence Secretary Philip Hammond announced in the Commons yesterday:
"I am able to advise the House this afternoon that we have taken the decision this morning to offer NATO UK Typhoon aircraft from late April to augment the Polish contribution to the NATO Baltic air policing mission. I hope that will provide reassurance to our NATO allies in the east."
The UK is therefore the first and so far only NATO or EU member to commit troops to strengthening the EU-Russian border. TVN cites the Estonian PM Andrus Ansip describing the UK's decision as "an important step" while Foreign Minister Urmas Reinsalu noted that it constitutes a "clear and unambiguous" response to Estonia's desire to strengthen NATO's presence in the Baltic.

However, other politicians who have been been very hawkish over Ukraine - but also the most vocal critics of David Cameron in Europe more broadly - have been quiet by their usual standards. We don't want to name names, but yes, Radoslaw Sikorski and Carl Bildt we're looking at you. (Although to be fair, while they have not commenting on the jet deployment specifically, both of them have praised the UK's stance on Ukraine more generally).

This is significant because some - not least Sikorski himself - have warned that if Russia is not stopped in the Crimea, the Baltic states which have significant Russian minorities could be next on Putin's hit list. It's easy to whine about the UK being Europe's grumpy, old man complaining in the corner. However, when it comes to dealing with thugs, all of a sudden, London becomes strangely popular.

This again goes to show that without the UK, the EU's geopolitical credibility would be sorely diminished. Perhaps one for certain foreign ministers to keep in mind when the waters are calmer.

Monday, October 28, 2013

'Handygate': The number of EU countries involved growing by the minute

Well, this one snowballed quickly. The number of countries either implicated - or feeling the need to comment on - "Handygate" (as the Germans call it) is growing by the minute. Here's a round-up.

Germany: The fallout over allegations that the NSA hacked Angela Merkel's phone continues. According to Bild am Sonntag, US President Barack Obama was personally briefed about the eavesdropping by NSA Director, Keith Alexander, as far back as 2010. Several papers claim that the American embassy in Berlin was used as a hub for the alleged bugging.

However, according to US officials quoted by the WSJ and FAZ, Obama was unaware of the whole affair. The reason? The NSA has so many tapping operations going on that it wouldn't have been practical to brief the President about all of them. The article suggests the White House did scrap some monitoring programmes upon learning about them, including the one tracking Angela Merkel.

Spain: Spanish daily El Mundo dropped a bit of a bomb today, claiming that the NSA bugged over 60 million phone calls in Spain in just one month - between 10 December 2012 and 8 January 2013. The report, also based on former NSA agent Edward Snowden's secret documents, suggested the eavesdropping didn't involve the actual content of the phone calls - just their duration and where they were being made from. But still.

The Spanish Foreign Ministry summoned the US Ambassador in Madrid, James Costos - who later stressed in a statement that the wire-tapping activities have played "a fundamental role" in protecting both US  interests and those of its allies.

Italy: Italian magazine L'Espresso alleged last week that not only the US, but also the UK had been spying on Rome. The latest is that, according to the Cryptome website, the NSA allegedly bugged some 46 million phone calls in Italy between December 2012 and January 2013. But the Italian intelligence service has urged caution, saying there's "no evidence" supporting the claims.

France: Though the French press has been relatively quiet about the episode today, the country has already summoned the ambassador with the accompanied public outrage from politicians. It seems to be dying down a bit in France, though.

Poland: Notoriously Atlanticist, Warsaw has also been forced to go public, with Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski saying over the weekend that the alleged hacking was a "scandal which undermines trust" and that he would be inquiring with Washington whether Poland was also affected by NSA surveillance. However, asked in the interview whether Poland was under surveillance, he apparently answered with a smile: "We also use surveillance".

Sweden: Foreign Minister Carl Bildt has been taking a chilled approach, insisting that he knows "what kind of world we live in" and that "I never say things over the phone that could hurt Sweden if it ended up with a foreign power."

Netherlands: Prime Minister Mark Rutte has said that "I will support [Merkel] completely in her complaint and say that this is not acceptable. I think we need all the facts on the table first."

Belgium:  Belgian Prime Minister Elio Di Rupo commented, "The idea is to have a working method [at the EU level] by the end of the year, which should avoid that friends spy on each other." However, asked on whether the EU should suspend free trade talks with the US, Di Rupo said, "We want to avoid blackmail."

UK: Finally, though the worst fears over suspension of the EU-US trade deal so far have not materialised (although it's still balanced on a knife's edge), David Cameron remains stuck between a rock (the US) and a hard place (Germany). In the Commons today, Cameron talked up the need for a robust intelligence service, saying it has "also allowed us to warn our EU allies about terrorist plots aimed at their people."